The world’s largest growth potential among fossil fuels is attributed to liquefied natural gas (LNG). Due to the important role of the gas price at the U.S. trading point Henry Hub (HH) for U.S. LNG exports to Western Europe, the question arises, how gas flows and gas prices are changing at the beginning of the 2030s in Western Europe if the price at HH is higher or lower than expected. Furthermore, the effect on the volumes of U.S. LNG exports to Western Europe is analysed.